Single poll

INSA poll of 29 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 May 2021
Respondents
1,301
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • FDP13.0%+0.5
  • AfD12.0%+0.5
  • Linke7.0%+0.5
  • Others5.0%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 May 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,301 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 May 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.9average 23.9
  • FDP +1.2average 11.8
  • AfD +1.2average 10.8
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
  • Linke +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 166 seatsGrüne: 146 seatsSPD: 106 seatsFDP: 86 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU166
  • Grüne146
  • SPD106
  • FDP86
  • AfD80
  • Linke46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP398 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD392 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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