INSA poll of 26 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,128
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- FDP12.5%-0.5
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- Linke6.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 2,128 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.4average 24.4
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- FDP +1.1average 11.4
- AfD +0.9average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 25.2
- Linke -0.4average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- Grüne147
- SPD107
- FDP83
- AfD77
- Linke43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD357 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.