INSA poll of 23 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,405
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.5
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%+0.5
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,405 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 May 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and FDP 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 15.0
- FDP +1.9average 11.1
- Grüne -1.6average 24.6
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 24.9
- Linke -0.9average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne152
- SPD113
- FDP86
- AfD80
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP351 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.