INSA poll of 18 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,023
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- Grüne23.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP12.5%+1.5
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,023 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 May 2021, FDP gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 24.9
- FDP +1.6average 10.9
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke -0.6average 7.1
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne154
- SPD107
- FDP83
- AfD73
- Linke43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD350 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP344 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.