INSA poll of 16 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,350
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- Grüne24.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,350 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 May 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- Grüne -1.0average 25.0
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 25.1
- FDP +0.1average 10.9
- Linke -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU166
- Grüne159
- SPD106
- AfD80
- FDP73
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.