INSA poll of 10 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,055
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+1.5
- Grüne23.5%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.5%. 2,055 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 25.0
- FDP +1.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 24.9
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Linke +0.6average 6.9
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU170
- Grüne157
- SPD100
- FDP80
- AfD73
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.