INSA poll of 3 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2021 to 3 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,075
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 2,075 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2021 to 3 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 25.9
- AfD +1.6average 10.4
- FDP +1.2average 10.8
- Grüne -0.4average 24.4
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU161
- Grüne161
- SPD101
- FDP80
- AfD80
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD321 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.