INSA poll of 27 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 2,082
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 2,082 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.5average 26.5
- FDP +1.6average 10.4
- AfD +1.6average 10.4
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- Grüne -1.0average 24.0
- Linke +0.8average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne154
- SPD107
- FDP81
- AfD80
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.