INSA poll of 23 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- Grüne23.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 23 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower and SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.5average 27.5
- SPD +1.9average 15.1
- FDP +1.9average 10.1
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- Grüne +0.5average 22.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne152
- SPD113
- FDP80
- AfD73
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD424 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.