INSA poll of 21 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 20 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 20 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.3average 10.7
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- FDP +0.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 27.5
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne146
- SPD106
- AfD80
- FDP73
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.