INSA poll of 20 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 3,057
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 3,057 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2021, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 22.3
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- FDP +1.1average 9.9
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne139
- SPD106
- AfD80
- FDP73
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.