INSA poll of 16 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 15 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+0.5
- Grüne20.0%-0.5
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 15 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 15.5
- Grüne -1.7average 21.7
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- FDP +0.4average 9.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne131
- SPD118
- AfD79
- FDP66
- Linke52
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD433 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.