INSA poll of 12 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 3,174
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.5%+0.5
- Grüne20.5%-0.5
- SPD17.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 3,174 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2021, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 22.1
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- FDP +0.4average 9.6
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 27.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne138
- SPD114
- AfD80
- FDP67
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.