INSA poll of 22 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 3,104
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.5%+0.5
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 3,104 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Mar 2021, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.0 points lower and FDP 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.0average 32.0
- FDP +2.4average 8.1
- SPD +1.6average 16.4
- AfD +0.8average 10.2
- Linke -0.5average 7.5
- Grüne +0.1average 19.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne133
- SPD120
- AfD73
- FDP70
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.