INSA poll of 20 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,042
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.5
- Grüne20.0%+3.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- FDP10.0%-0.5
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,042 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Mar 2021, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.5 points lower and FDP 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.5average 32.5
- FDP +2.1average 7.9
- SPD +1.7average 16.3
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Grüne +0.5average 19.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne133
- SPD119
- AfD73
- FDP66
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.