INSA poll of 15 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,068
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.5%-0.5
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD11.5%±0
- FDP10.5%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others6.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,068 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Mar 2021, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.5 points lower and FDP 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.5average 34.0
- FDP +3.0average 7.5
- Grüne -2.0average 19.0
- AfD +1.3average 10.2
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD115
- Grüne114
- AfD77
- FDP71
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne428 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.