INSA poll of 8 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,029
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-2.5
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- FDP10.5%+0.5
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,029 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.3 points lower and FDP 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.3average 34.3
- FDP +3.0average 7.5
- Grüne -2.1average 19.1
- AfD +1.6average 9.9
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD113
- Grüne113
- AfD76
- FDP69
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.