INSA poll of 2 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,032
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU32.5%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others4.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,032 people were surveyed from 26 Feb 2021 to 1 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.5average 7.5
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 34.5
- Grüne -2.0average 19.0
- AfD +1.2average 9.8
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- SPD112
- Grüne112
- AfD73
- FDP66
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.