INSA poll of 23 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,075
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU33.5%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others5.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,075 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 19.3
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 35.3
- FDP +1.7average 7.3
- AfD +1.6average 9.4
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- Grüne113
- SPD107
- AfD73
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.