INSA poll of 15 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU33.5%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- AfD10.5%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 36.1
- Grüne -2.1average 19.1
- FDP +1.9average 7.1
- Linke +1.8average 7.2
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- AfD +1.2average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD112
- Grüne111
- AfD69
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.