INSA poll of 8 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,107
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU34.5%-2.0
- Grüne17.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.5%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,107 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.4 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.4average 6.6
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 36.3
- Grüne -1.8average 19.3
- AfD +1.4average 9.1
- Linke +1.0average 7.5
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU226
- Grüne115
- SPD105
- AfD69
- FDP59
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.