INSA poll of 2 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 2,044
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.5%+1.5
- Grüne17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke7.5%-0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jan 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2021 to 1 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.3 points lower and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 19.3
- AfD +1.9average 9.1
- FDP +1.6average 6.4
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 36.3
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU242
- Grüne113
- SPD99
- AfD73
- FDP53
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.