INSA poll of 26 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 2,038
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jan 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,038 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Jan 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jan 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.1
- FDP +1.6average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 36.1
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne114
- SPD107
- AfD67
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.