INSA poll of 18 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 18 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,835
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.5
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jan 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,835 people were surveyed from 17 to 18 Jan 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jan 2021, FDP gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.6 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.6average 6.4
- Grüne -2.0average 19.0
- AfD +1.4average 9.6
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 36.1
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- Grüne113
- SPD99
- AfD73
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.