INSA poll of 12 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 11 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 2,042
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%+0.5
- FDP7.5%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jan 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,042 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Jan 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Jan 2021, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 19.3
- FDP +1.2average 6.3
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 36.1
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU240
- Grüne120
- SPD100
- AfD67
- Linke53
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.