INSA poll of 29 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 3,049
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.5%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Mar 2021.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 3,049 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
- SPD +1.6average 16.4
- FDP +1.2average 9.3
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- Grüne -0.4average 21.4
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU175
- Grüne142
- SPD121
- AfD74
- FDP71
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.