INSA poll of 22 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 2,055
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke7.5%±0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Dec 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 2,055 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Dec 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Dec 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 19.1
- FDP +2.0average 6.0
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 36.6
- AfD +1.6average 9.4
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne111
- SPD107
- AfD74
- FDP54
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.