Single poll
INSA poll of 15 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Dec 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Dec 2020, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.1
- SPD +1.3average 15.7
- FDP +1.2average 5.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 36.6
- AfD +0.5average 9.5
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU240
- SPD113
- Grüne113
- AfD67
- Linke50
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP337 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 8 Dec 2020INSA, 22 Dec 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.