INSA poll of 8 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 2,057
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.5%±0
- Grüne17.5%±0
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke7.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,057 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Dec 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Nov 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.1average 5.9
- Grüne -1.9average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.4
- AfD +0.5average 9.5
- SPD +0.1average 15.4
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- Grüne117
- SPD104
- AfD67
- FDP54
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.