Single poll

INSA poll of 17 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
13 to 16 Nov 2020
Respondents
2,077
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU36.5%+2.0
  • Grüne17.5%±0
  • SPD15.5%±0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.5%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Nov 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,077 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Nov 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.8average 19.3
  • FDP +1.3average 5.7
  • AfD +1.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU +0.6average 35.9
  • SPD +0.1average 15.4
  • Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 242 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsSPD: 103 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 50 seatsFDP: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU242
  • Grüne116
  • SPD103
  • AfD73
  • Linke50
  • FDP46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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