Single poll

INSA poll of 24 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
20 to 23 Nov 2020
Respondents
2,063
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU36.0%-0.5
  • Grüne17.5%±0
  • SPD15.5%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-0.5
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Nov 2020.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,063 people were surveyed from 20 to 23 Nov 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Nov 2020, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.4average 18.9
  • AfD +1.2average 9.8
  • FDP +1.1average 5.9
  • Linke -0.4average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 36.3
  • SPD -0.2average 15.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsGrüne: 117 seatsSPD: 104 seatsAfD: 74 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • Grüne117
  • SPD104
  • AfD74
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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