INSA poll of 10 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 2,030
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU34.5%±0
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke7.5%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,030 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Nov 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2020, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 36.1
- Grüne -1.5average 19.0
- FDP +1.1average 5.9
- Linke -0.2average 7.7
- SPD +0.1average 15.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- Grüne117
- SPD104
- AfD81
- Linke50
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.