INSA poll of 3 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2020 to 2 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 2,035
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU34.5%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- SPD15.5%+1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke8.5%+1.0
- FDP6.5%±0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,035 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2020 to 2 Nov 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 35.6
- Linke +0.8average 7.7
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- FDP +0.6average 5.9
- SPD -0.1average 15.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- Grüne120
- SPD104
- AfD74
- Linke57
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.