INSA poll of 27 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 26 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,069
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.5%+0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- SPD14.5%±0
- AfD12.0%+0.5
- Linke7.5%-0.5
- FDP6.5%-1.0
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 23 to 26 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Oct 2020, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower and AfD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 19.6
- AfD +1.9average 10.1
- SPD -1.1average 15.6
- FDP +0.9average 5.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 35.8
- Linke -0.1average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- Grüne118
- SPD98
- AfD81
- Linke50
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.