Single poll
INSA poll of 20 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,074
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,074 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Oct 2020, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.1average 5.4
- Grüne -1.6average 19.6
- AfD +1.5average 10.0
- SPD -1.4average 15.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- Grüne120
- SPD97
- AfD77
- Linke53
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Oct 2020INSA, 27 Oct 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.