INSA poll of 13 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,084
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.5%±0
- SPD14.5%±0
- AfD11.0%-0.5
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 2,084 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Oct 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.7average 5.3
- SPD -1.4average 15.9
- Grüne -1.3average 19.8
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 35.7
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne124
- SPD97
- AfD74
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.