INSA poll of 6 October 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 2,058
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.5%-0.5
- SPD14.5%-1.0
- AfD11.5%±0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- FDP6.0%-0.5
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Sep 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 2,058 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Sep 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 15.8
- AfD +1.3average 10.2
- Grüne -0.8average 19.3
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 35.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- Grüne125
- SPD98
- AfD77
- Linke47
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.