INSA poll of 29 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 2,065
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.5
- SPD15.5%±0
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- FDP6.5%±0
- Linke6.5%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Sep 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,065 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Sep 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Sep 2020, Grüne gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.3average 10.2
- Linke -1.3average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 36.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.5
- SPD -0.5average 16.0
- Grüne -0.3average 19.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne127
- SPD104
- AfD77
- FDP44
- Linke44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.