INSA poll of 22 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 2,061
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-0.5
- Grüne17.5%+0.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- AfD12.0%+0.5
- Linke7.5%±0
- FDP6.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Sep 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,061 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Sep 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Sep 2020, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 9.8
- Grüne -1.9average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 36.3
- FDP +1.3average 5.2
- SPD -0.5average 16.0
- Linke -0.2average 7.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne117
- SPD104
- AfD80
- Linke50
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.