INSA poll of 1 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 2,068
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.5%+1.0
- Grüne17.5%+1.5
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.5%-1.5
- FDP6.0%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,068 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2020, Grüne gains 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- Grüne -0.9average 18.4
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 37.0
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- Linke +0.1average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- Grüne117
- SPD107
- AfD73
- Linke50
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.