INSA poll of 8 September 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Sep 2020
- Respondents
- 2,086
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.5
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+0.5
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Sep 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,086 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Sep 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Sep 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 36.9
- AfD +1.1average 9.9
- FDP +1.0average 5.5
- Grüne -0.6average 18.6
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- Grüne120
- SPD107
- AfD73
- Linke53
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.