INSA poll of 25 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 2,067
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU35.5%-0.5
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+1.0
- FDP6.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Aug 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.5%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,067 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Aug 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 18.6
- SPD +1.8average 15.2
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 37.0
- Linke +1.4average 7.6
- AfD +1.3average 9.7
- FDP +0.7average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- SPD113
- Grüne106
- AfD73
- Linke60
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.