INSA poll of 18 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 2,101
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,101 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Aug 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.9 points lower and SPD 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.9average 18.9
- SPD +2.8average 15.2
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 37.1
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD119
- Grüne106
- AfD73
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.