INSA poll of 14 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.5%-0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jul 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Jul 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jul 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points lower and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 18.2
- FDP +1.5average 5.5
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 37.9
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke +0.9average 7.6
- SPD -0.6average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne110
- SPD97
- AfD73
- Linke57
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP350 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.