Single poll
INSA poll of 7 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,040
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,040 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Jul 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jun 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.9average 37.9
- FDP +1.6average 5.4
- Grüne -1.2average 18.2
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne114
- SPD100
- AfD74
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 30 Jun 2020INSA, 14 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.