Single poll
INSA poll of 30 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 29 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2020, Grüne loses 1.5 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 38.0
- FDP +1.4average 5.6
- Grüne -0.9average 17.9
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- AfD +0.5average 10.0
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU242
- Grüne113
- SPD106
- AfD70
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 22 Jun 2020INSA, 7 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.