INSA poll of 21 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 2,049
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU36.5%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.5
- Grüne16.0%-0.5
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.5%+0.5
- Linke7.5%-1.0
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jul 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,049 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jul 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Jul 2020, SPD gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.2 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 18.2
- FDP +2.0average 5.5
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 37.9
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke -0.3average 7.8
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- SPD108
- Grüne108
- AfD67
- FDP51
- Linke50
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke347 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.