INSA poll of 9 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 8 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 2,051
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU38.0%-0.5
- Grüne17.5%-0.5
- SPD14.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP6.5%+1.0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.5%. 2,051 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jun 2020, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 15.6
- Grüne +0.8average 16.7
- Linke +0.7average 7.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 38.6
- FDP +0.6average 5.9
- AfD +0.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU253
- Grüne117
- SPD93
- AfD67
- Linke57
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP353 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.