INSA poll of 15 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 2,069
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+0.5
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Jun 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,069 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 38.6
- FDP +1.4average 5.6
- AfD +0.9average 9.1
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- Grüne +0.1average 17.9
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne119
- SPD100
- AfD66
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.