INSA poll of 3 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 May 2020 to 2 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 2,047
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU38.5%+1.5
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%+0.5
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP5.5%-0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,047 people were surveyed from 29 May 2020 to 2 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- Grüne +1.3average 16.7
- AfD +0.2average 9.8
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- FDP -0.2average 5.7
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 38.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU258
- Grüne120
- SPD94
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.